Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates


(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and also lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the business's share rate down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted because the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' list prices have been negatively impacted by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel price during the third quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and renewable item market value premiums have actually remained weak," the company added.


Industry executives and analysts have actually said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable impact on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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